TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof Galions, Esprit Shōnen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeda6…84c5backed Esprit Shōnen15c8,357$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.561735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Esprit Shōnen15c3,588$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.5989347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Esprit Shōnen14c3,210$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.41,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Esprit Shōnen14c2,379$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33359248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Esprit Shōnen15c2,192$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.827042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Esprit Shōnen20c1,798$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.417439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3027…3594backed Esprit Shōnen7c1,620$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015048.7%73 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Esprit Shōnen13c1,182$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7269841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Esprit Shōnen40c1,015$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.821,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Esprit Shōnen20c1,006$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8882836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Esprit Shōnen16c927$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6532939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Esprit Shōnen17c875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Esprit Shōnen15c696.92$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.211,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Esprit Shōnen14c693.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3550745%228 W · 279 L+1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Esprit Shōnen13c693.05$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.11,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Esprit Shōnen21c642$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.363,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Galions79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9115357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Esprit Shōnen17c630.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.311,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed Esprit Shōnen5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257631.6%24 W · 52 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad47…e425backed Galions80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Esprit Shōnen17c430.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.751,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Esprit Shōnen20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Esprit Shōnen13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Esprit Shōnen18c381.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.721440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Esprit Shōnen19c373.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.021,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Galions80c370$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Esprit Shōnen36c348.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed Esprit Shōnen19c320.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035943.5%156 W · 203 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Esprit Shōnen18c275$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Esprit Shōnen21c263.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4538835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Esprit Shōnen18c252.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.733251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Esprit Shōnen20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Galions79c250$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.538659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Galions55c249.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.4994237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed Esprit Shōnen45c235.04$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2638342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Esprit Shōnen24c232$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.981,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Esprit Shōnen25c224.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7878043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Esprit Shōnen19c212.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9920458.8%120 W · 84 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Esprit Shōnen14c203.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.547630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Esprit Shōnen20c200.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0419340.4%78 W · 115 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Esprit Shōnen18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362528%7 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ffc…cfabbacked Esprit Shōnen18c199.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0923740.5%96 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d0…fb8fbacked Esprit Shōnen16c179.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Galions64c178.31$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.511,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Esprit Shōnen14c171.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0352750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe251…8effbacked Esprit Shōnen36c166.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Esprit Shōnen17c166.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.861,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Esprit Shōnen22c163$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6229143.3%126 W · 165 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Esprit Shōnen18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2734849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Esprit Shōnen34c131.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2986943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Esprit Shōnen31c127.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Esprit Shōnen9c118.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Esprit Shōnen9c116.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.992,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Esprit Shōnen18c114$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.525839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc1…6924backed Esprit Shōnen18c108.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541e…cc8abacked Esprit Shōnen39c102.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013262.9%83 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Esprit Shōnen19c100.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.674637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Esprit Shōnen14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Esprit Shōnen21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2150646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Esprit Shōnen17c87.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8812657.1%72 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69ba…b7bdbacked Esprit Shōnen18c83.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…05a0backed Esprit Shōnen19c81.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-81.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c5…6483backed Galions72c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.626958%156 W · 113 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…52d2backed Galions78c72$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0834667.6%234 W · 112 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Esprit Shōnen18c69.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Esprit Shōnen25c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.041,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe703…37ddbacked Esprit Shōnen40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9315556.1%87 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked Galions73c34.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3625165.7%165 W · 86 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Galions75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Galions65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51,24752.8%659 W · 588 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Galions61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7541453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f77…39f8backed Galions65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…cbdcbacked Galions60c24.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Galions58c22.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4422758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Galions79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.248747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22db…0cb9backed Galions80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.13056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Galions59c17.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.371,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.