CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc78d695dea9770da106f5e14b359b5422bb85fb4a3576d2e73a74a29e6c7f8ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ENCE, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ENCE | 41c | 1,328$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.69 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 1,259$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed ENCE | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 961.07$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ENCE | 3c | 882.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE | 47c | 460.48$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed ENCE | 53c | 198.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed ENCE | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ENCE | 45c | 68.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 66.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 64.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked ENCE | 64c | 59.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed ENCE | 70c | 53.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked ENCE | 69c | 45.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…2df3backed ENCE | 74c | 30.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 25.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked ENCE | 60c | 19.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.