Tennis · resolved market
Tiafoe vs. Bublik: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b299ae72c2f87d13ae9e9588040bc89df07f23ba11bff7c159e04f3c8eda8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 49c | 29,470$14,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,365.01 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 51c | 25,022$12,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,264.98 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.99 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Under | 47c | 1,670$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.25 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 49c | 751.38$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.03 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 622$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under | 51c | 519.37$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.04 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Over | 55c | 399.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 43c | 377.44$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.96 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 42c | 331.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 46c | 218.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 49c | 208.16$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 48c | 177.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…15a3backed Under | 42c | 176.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over | 52c | 124.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Over | 52c | 113.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Over | 58c | 101.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…7d56backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 51c | 98.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…755dbacked Under | 55c | 89.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 45c | 86.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Over | 51c | 74.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Under | 52c | 64.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Over | 50c | 62.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 60.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 59.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 50c | 59.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d36…93a1backed Under | 49c | 50.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…0450backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 51c | 48.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…7659backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Over | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Over | 51c | 32.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…52aebacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…391bbacked Under | 48c | 29.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 43c | 25.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Under | 50c | 23.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tiafoe vs. Bublik: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs BublikTiafoe won
- Set 2 Winner: Tiafoe vs BublikBublik won
- Set 3 Winner: Tiafoe vs BublikBublik won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)Bublik won
- Tiafoe vs. Bublik: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.