CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs SAW - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b6b115d959119f870f559a734b094b93e258279cb388c65163edf281357913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof Project 91, SAW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Project 91 | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 768 | 56.9%437 W · 331 L | +49.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SAW | 54c | 1,621$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.41 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Project 91 | 46c | 1,343$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.97 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SAW | 56c | 1,291$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.89 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Project 91 | 44c | 1,010$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.36 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SAW | 56c | 979.14$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.52 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW | 55c | 906.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.91 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Project 91 | 43c | 849.57$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Project 91 | 40c | 770.35$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SAW | 66c | 525.74$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.21 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Project 91 | 39c | 297.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.16 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Project 91 | 45c | 255.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Project 91 | 35c | 250.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SAW | 74c | 237.49$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SAW | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Project 91 | 41c | 142.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed SAW | 69c | 138.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Project 91 | 45c | 118.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked SAW | 55c | 114.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed SAW | 55c | 113.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed SAW | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked SAW | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked SAW | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SAW | 64c | 85.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…e91abacked SAW | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Project 91 | 18c | 61.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2,606 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L | +96.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed SAW | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked SAW | 55c | 55.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…c249backed SAW | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed SAW | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed SAW | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed SAW | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Project 91 | 39c | 38.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Project 91 | 44c | 32.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 889 | 54.4%484 W · 405 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Project 91 | 33c | 30.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SAW | 55c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed SAW | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SAW | 68c | 25.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked SAW | 53c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs SAW - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group AProject 91 won
- Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs SAW - Map 2 WinnerProject 91 won
- Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Project 91 (+1.5)Project 91 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.