Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7ba4414b1a819fc12340afb8b20fad73d4a42d5cb0a20034a80b87a241e66f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Team Synapse, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Inner Circle | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.66 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…4b17backed Team Synapse | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked Team Synapse | 13c | 767.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Team Synapse | 30c | 668.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Synapse | 32c | 630$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Synapse | 7c | 589.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…00b6backed Inner Circle | 78c | 582.87$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…813cbacked Inner Circle | 66c | 461.26$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034d…a29ebacked Inner Circle | 66c | 413.64$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Team Synapse | 10c | 387.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Inner Circle | 69c | 363.17$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Team Synapse | 10c | 355.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Team Synapse | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Inner Circle | 73c | 276.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…a00dbacked Team Synapse | 6c | 264.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Synapse | 20c | 257.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Synapse | 27c | 235.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Team Synapse | 19c | 181.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Synapse | 20c | 178.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed Team Synapse | 28c | 171.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Team Synapse | 26c | 155.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked Inner Circle | 77c | 130.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle | 67c | 114$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Inner Circle | 66c | 87.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Inner Circle | 66c | 79.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…c4c9backed Inner Circle | 68c | 74.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Synapse | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked Team Synapse | 25c | 60.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Synapse | 27c | 55.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Inner Circle | 70c | 52.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Team Synapse | 27c | 40.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Synapse | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Synapse | 31c | 38.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Inner Circle | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 56 | 82.1%46 W · 10 L | +10.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.