Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8047115786f6e7bc95e2c3e8be426a2a8406ec45a4db22382f72fc337b594a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,353 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yakutou Brothers | 0c | 6,249$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 3,412$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.12 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 2,895$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.96 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 2c | 2,725$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 1,566$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.76 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 1,165$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.14 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…f467backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 720$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 9c | 644.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 517.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4933…5209backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 491$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Team Yandex | 80c | 338.29$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Team Yandex | 80c | 254.38$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Team Yandex | 80c | 231.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 198.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Team Yandex | 80c | 187$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 175.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 7c | 166.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 153.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yakutou Brothers | 8c | 153.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yakutou Brothers | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Yandex | 78c | 117.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…11d5backed Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Yandex | 79c | 99.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakutou Brothers | 10c | 99.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 86.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yakutou Brothers | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…1aa0backed Team Yandex | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Team Yandex | 74c | 45.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Team Yandex | 75c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…60c4backed Team Yandex | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.