Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c5a887aea087a40218ccba2da36eaae8d6ecf8b4e06ed52668d701d50c2a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,966 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 4,130$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.7 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 22c | 3,024$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.81 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Yandex | 76c | 2,401$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.55 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 1,749$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.18 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 1,388$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 841.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yakutou Brothers | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 628$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 570.07$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.01 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 387.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 12c | 251.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 201.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 132.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…50e7backed Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 72.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 20.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.