Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1aeef1db4f8e85be6d5ffcfa0fc7b0ca2fa04be67ce9b8ea22223f9f7bd415f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,644 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yakutou Brothers | 10c | 1,540$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakutou Brothers | 16c | 943.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 17c | 726.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 688.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 17c | 365.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Yakutou Brothers | 11c | 326.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yakutou Brothers | 17c | 313.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 15c | 313.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 19c | 239.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 238.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 12c | 206.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Yandex | 79c | 185.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 12c | 113.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 20c | 65.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Yandex | 80c | 62.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Yandex | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed Team Yandex | 72c | 16.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.