TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ohio Bobcats vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ohio Bobcatsof Ohio Bobcats, Central Michigan Chippewas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas23c1,530$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.445,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Central Michigan Chippewas16c1,253$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.131,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Central Michigan Chippewas32c1,148$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3811439.5%45 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Central Michigan Chippewas35c923.74$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.875,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ohio Bobcats68c874.66$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Central Michigan Chippewas14c739.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.423,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Ohio Bobcats73c716.7$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.281376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+48%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ohio Bobcats67c706.37$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.222,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Central Michigan Chippewas32c690$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1116051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Central Michigan Chippewas34c411.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ohio Bobcats68c338.1$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.853,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Central Michigan Chippewas35c319.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.54,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Ohio Bobcats69c316.9$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7723158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked Ohio Bobcats68c294.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Central Michigan Chippewas31c223.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Central Michigan Chippewas29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2421535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ohio Bobcats69c173.86$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ohio Bobcats69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Central Michigan Chippewas10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Central Michigan Chippewas32c97.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Ohio Bobcats63c79.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8439144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Ohio Bobcats69c65.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4625438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas24c65.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.088341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Central Michigan Chippewas37c54.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4a…6847backed Central Michigan Chippewas37c53.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Ohio Bobcats68c44.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1719055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Michigan Chippewas37c41.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Central Michigan Chippewas30c35.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7411536.5%42 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Ohio Bobcats70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Ohio Bobcats70c21.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.376558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.