TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internationaux de Strasbourg: Peyton Stearns vs Daria Kasatkina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daria Kasatkinaof Peyton Stearns, Daria Kasatkina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Peyton Stearns32c23,513$7,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,429.6593740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daria Kasatkina70c15,161$10,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.878,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Peyton Stearns11c9,181$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.7528039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daria Kasatkina62c5,765$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.46,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Peyton Stearns2c4,749$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.051,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Peyton Stearns49c4,469$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.674062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2901…f4d6backed Peyton Stearns48c3,183$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.246535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Daria Kasatkina52c2,839$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.721,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daria Kasatkina63c1,877$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.4711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Daria Kasatkina66c1,845$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.075,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Daria Kasatkina50c1,754$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.9627739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Peyton Stearns33c1,202$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7337230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Peyton Stearns46c1,020$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.191,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Peyton Stearns39c1,018$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.411,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Daria Kasatkina63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3853655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Daria Kasatkina55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0936848.4%178 W · 190 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Peyton Stearns39c841.9$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.54,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Daria Kasatkina74c749.92$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8791755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Daria Kasatkina54c670.45$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4156757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0203…c2f7backed Peyton Stearns8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Peyton Stearns10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Daria Kasatkina53c486.64$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.444,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Peyton Stearns11c472.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051236.5%187 W · 325 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Peyton Stearns39c442.22$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4414753.1%78 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Peyton Stearns6c433$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.984,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Daria Kasatkina55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805048%24 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Daria Kasatkina54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18436852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Peyton Stearns8c375.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7219336.8%71 W · 122 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Peyton Stearns15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Peyton Stearns31c314.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3680341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Daria Kasatkina50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15097141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Peyton Stearns23c241.43$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.198,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Peyton Stearns47c233.23$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3233550.1%168 W · 167 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Daria Kasatkina64c226.56$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.561,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Daria Kasatkina68c220.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7484963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Peyton Stearns13c220$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Daria Kasatkina53c210.36$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8722965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Peyton Stearns50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Daria Kasatkina73c186.94$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.892,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Daria Kasatkina57c176.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9814757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Peyton Stearns45c173.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.131,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Peyton Stearns43c173.23$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.493,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Peyton Stearns12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010232.4%33 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Peyton Stearns18c163.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe37…911dbacked Daria Kasatkina80c159.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.632675.2%245 W · 81 L+20.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Daria Kasatkina52c150.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3837233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Daria Kasatkina54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Peyton Stearns47c147.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.447,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Daria Kasatkina70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.867856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Peyton Stearns13c138.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.752,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Peyton Stearns22c135$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.718540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Peyton Stearns16c133.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.347,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked Daria Kasatkina50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Peyton Stearns46c106.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.541,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf5…52adbacked Peyton Stearns46c101.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Daria Kasatkina54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4656062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Daria Kasatkina65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3512656.3%71 W · 55 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Peyton Stearns42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9930339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd952…0553backed Peyton Stearns12c92.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.352737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e0…3488backed Peyton Stearns22c91.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205044%22 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Daria Kasatkina54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.563,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Daria Kasatkina58c84.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.246,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Daria Kasatkina71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Peyton Stearns50c83.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.113342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Peyton Stearns46c82.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.976946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9781…f9edbacked Peyton Stearns43c81.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Daria Kasatkina63c69.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.581,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Daria Kasatkina72c69.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0715070%105 W · 45 L+0.6wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Daria Kasatkina53c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Daria Kasatkina63c61.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Peyton Stearns50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Peyton Stearns38c55.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.062,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Peyton Stearns46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Daria Kasatkina55c54.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.383357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Peyton Stearns47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Peyton Stearns47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Peyton Stearns46c51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4651339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Peyton Stearns48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Daria Kasatkina53c47.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5644851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Daria Kasatkina53c47.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Daria Kasatkina54c44.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6320764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc05…4eb4backed Daria Kasatkina54c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.247561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Peyton Stearns50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Peyton Stearns48c39.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Daria Kasatkina57c34.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9289859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Daria Kasatkina53c33.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9655059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Daria Kasatkina60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3319251.6%99 W · 93 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d0f…c3d9backed Daria Kasatkina54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7810852.8%57 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Peyton Stearns47c27.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9715060%90 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Peyton Stearns41c24.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1183047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Peyton Stearns45c23.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.797,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Daria Kasatkina53c21.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.972,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Daria Kasatkina67c20.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6612737.8%48 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed Daria Kasatkina75c19.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0119568.2%133 W · 62 L+19.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.