TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tennessee Volunteersof Auburn Tigers, Tennessee Volunteers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Tennessee Volunteers68c10,289$6,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.636944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Auburn Tigers32c9,607$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.231,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee Volunteers77c3,987$3,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.435,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers22c2,214$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.255,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Auburn Tigers25c1,702$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.81,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f9…5707backed Auburn Tigers28c1,340$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ef…cf1bbacked Auburn Tigers17c1,194$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tennessee Volunteers70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa302…6c3fbacked Auburn Tigers20c982.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Auburn Tigers20c716$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Auburn Tigers30c653.21$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tennessee Volunteers74c617.42$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.443,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Tennessee Volunteers68c599.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922250%11 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Auburn Tigers27c575.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0723028.3%65 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Auburn Tigers16c539.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers32c398.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.684,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Tennessee Volunteers78c343.79$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3131646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Tennessee Volunteers68c337.79$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.094738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Auburn Tigers32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Tennessee Volunteers80c296.95$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Tennessee Volunteers79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Auburn Tigers30c220.03$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0121347.9%102 W · 111 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Tennessee Volunteers69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.394257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Auburn Tigers32c216.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.42,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Tennessee Volunteers68c171.91$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0182048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Auburn Tigers7c170.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Tennessee Volunteers78c169.05$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8699848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Auburn Tigers13c162.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.63,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Tennessee Volunteers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2038343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Auburn Tigers31c99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.698043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Auburn Tigers32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Auburn Tigers20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.181,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Auburn Tigers25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Auburn Tigers17c68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.762,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Auburn Tigers32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Auburn Tigers31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Tennessee Volunteers68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Auburn Tigers32c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Tennessee Volunteers78c48.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Tennessee Volunteers68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Tennessee Volunteers69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.43158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Tennessee Volunteers72c38.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Tennessee Volunteers69c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.542356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9d…1ba2backed Auburn Tigers32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Tennessee Volunteers69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tennessee Volunteers73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Tennessee Volunteers69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.751963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc9…63b2backed Tennessee Volunteers79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tennessee Volunteers78c13.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.