CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8934d6ce1ff3892fd647ee3f465e7948c437cb5e8eac243407439e0e00881a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BET-M 33of BET-M 33, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Honvéd | 28c | 4,290$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.95 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Honvéd | 7c | 958.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Honvéd | 2c | 830$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BET-M 33 | 78c | 698.76$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked BET-M 33 | 73c | 352$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Honvéd | 23c | 295.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…e095backed Honvéd | 36c | 275.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Honvéd | 30c | 188$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BET-M 33 | 63c | 187.69$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Honvéd | 38c | 125$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked BET-M 33 | 66c | 106.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Honvéd | 69c | 103.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed BET-M 33 | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Honvéd | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Honvéd | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Honvéd | 20c | 90.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Honvéd | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Honvéd | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed BET-M 33 | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…b333backed Honvéd | 34c | 72.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Honvéd | 28c | 72.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…47c8backed BET-M 33 | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…ba5abacked Honvéd | 24c | 68.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Honvéd | 75c | 58.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked BET-M 33 | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Honvéd | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BET-M 33 | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Honvéd | 33c | 37.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd - Map 1 WinnerBET-M 33 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.