CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3fe1d88307b913f369bb52a9634b22265523a5aca5295d707999c8e2b4f6528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BET-M 33of BET-M 33, Honvéd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Honvéd | 13c | 20,490$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.7 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Honvéd | 9c | 6,808$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.11 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed BET-M 33 | 64c | 2,501$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.53 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Honvéd | 12c | 2,286$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.1 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Honvéd | 36c | 2,002$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed BET-M 33 | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…94d3backed BET-M 33 | 69c | 985.32$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked BET-M 33 | 66c | 974.11$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed BET-M 33 | 67c | 938.68$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.66 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Honvéd | 6c | 686.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BET-M 33 | 78c | 624.23$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Honvéd | 22c | 522.6$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Honvéd | 34c | 504$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.26 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Honvéd | 12c | 483.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Honvéd | 10c | 437.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Honvéd | 25c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed BET-M 33 | 57c | 349.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Honvéd | 15c | 343.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed BET-M 33 | 67c | 300.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Honvéd | 41c | 294.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked BET-M 33 | 65c | 286.7$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BET-M 33 | 70c | 283.02$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked BET-M 33 | 59c | 265.18$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…9cb5backed Honvéd | 29c | 259.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed BET-M 33 | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Honvéd | 20c | 189.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BET-M 33 | 66c | 181$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Honvéd | 35c | 177.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Honvéd | 30c | 166.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BET-M 33 | 77c | 164.37$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Honvéd | 35c | 151.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Honvéd | 20c | 119.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Honvéd | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked BET-M 33 | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Honvéd | 13c | 95.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed BET-M 33 | 64c | 87.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked BET-M 33 | 55c | 82.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…60f8backed Honvéd | 33c | 76.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked BET-M 33 | 76c | 73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked BET-M 33 | 72c | 69.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…08f8backed Honvéd | 56c | 61.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed BET-M 33 | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Honvéd | 35c | 51.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed Honvéd | 48c | 50.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…55c0backed Honvéd | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BET-M 33 | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…0c9abacked Honvéd | 35c | 42.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed Honvéd | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed BET-M 33 | 51c | 36.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked BET-M 33 | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…0242backed BET-M 33 | 59c | 30.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Honvéd | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Honvéd | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed BET-M 33 | 67c | 28.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…6eebbacked BET-M 33 | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked BET-M 33 | 56c | 26.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Honvéd | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked BET-M 33 | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed BET-M 33 | 73c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BET-M 33 | 73c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd - Map 1 WinnerBET-M 33 won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Honvéd - Map 2 WinnerBET-M 33 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.