TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Washington Huskies vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Huskiesof Washington Huskies, Northwestern Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern Wildcats52c2,490$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.562,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Washington Huskies59c2,037$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Northwestern Wildcats5c1,050$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northwestern Wildcats13c882.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.983,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northwestern Wildcats23c650$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.51,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Washington Huskies47c590.01$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.712339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Washington Huskies47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2652744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northwestern Wildcats5c475$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Washington Huskies63c448.02$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Northwestern Wildcats54c399.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.381,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Huskies62c298.69$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.823,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern Wildcats6c258.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.634,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northwestern Wildcats6c242.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Northwestern Wildcats31c234.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6666831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Washington Huskies61c232.26$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Washington Huskies57c211.44$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.925740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Washington Huskies46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Northwestern Wildcats46c185$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.612,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern Wildcats50c144.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.384,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northwestern Wildcats9c113.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.791,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats23c100.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.145,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Washington Huskies59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7518167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Washington Huskies47c84.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Northwestern Wildcats19c78.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Northwestern Wildcats55c75.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2597447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Washington Huskies46c73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.282,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Northwestern Wildcats34c64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8339742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Washington Huskies55c62.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1213550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Northwestern Wildcats55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Huskies46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Northwestern Wildcats46c45.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Northwestern Wildcats48c44.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Washington Huskies47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5520452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Washington Huskies47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.332652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Northwestern Wildcats54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Washington Huskies47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.925254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.