CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8caabd4347560a46430c45d0cd2f24f8c642f18d44333b2f57f3ba302ee8a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Johnny Speeds, Betclic Apogee Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 2,517$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.99 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 63c | 2,400$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.98 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 1,688$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.51 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 1,625$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.23 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 57c | 1,480$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 64c | 1,133$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.54 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 64c | 812.51$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 30c | 752.03$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 503.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 500.81$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Johnny Speeds | 32c | 217.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 200.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds | 35c | 199.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 149.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 63c | 136$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Johnny Speeds | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 81.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 28c | 74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 63c | 73.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Johnny Speeds | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 234 | 56.8%133 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 51.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Johnny Speeds | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Johnny Speeds | 31c | 47.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Johnny Speeds | 38c | 45.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Johnny Speeds | 24c | 43.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…9a02backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 42.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 66c | 30.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 29.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 65c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 260 | 46.5%121 W · 139 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 63c | 22.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 651 | 49%319 W · 332 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…c914backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 63c | 16.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 64c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 845 | 54.4%460 W · 385 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I PlayoffsBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.