Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Dzumhur vs Molcan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc907229a13f35fc139f705a658ffe3e38c2c0a2d82b5fa5a6bc38647ed7bfd72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dzumhurof Dzumhur, Molcan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Dzumhur | 68c | 4,843$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.82 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Molcan | 37c | 833.17$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Molcan | 32c | 812.58$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.03 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Molcan | 46c | 728.36$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Dzumhur | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Molcan | 26c | 375$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Dzumhur | 75c | 363.94$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Molcan | 35c | 331.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…d4f7backed Molcan | 32c | 297.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Molcan | 31c | 237.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dzumhur | 53c | 217.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Molcan | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Molcan | 30c | 176.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Molcan | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Molcan | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Molcan | 45c | 129.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Molcan | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Molcan | 30c | 123.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Molcan | 34c | 75.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Dzumhur | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Molcan | 32c | 73.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Molcan | 33c | 73.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Molcan | 26c | 64.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Dzumhur | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Dzumhur | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Molcan | 33c | 58.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Molcan | 32c | 56.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Molcan | 32c | 54.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Molcan | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Molcan | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Molcan | 32c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Dzumhur | 74c | 31.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Molcan | 33c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Dzumhur | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Dzumhur | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Dzumhur vs Molcanthis page
- Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Alex MolcanDamir Dzumhur won
- Damir Dzumhur vs. Alex Molcan: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Dzumhur vs. Molcan: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Dzumhur vs MolcanMolcan won
- Set Handicap: Molcan (-1.5) vs Dzumhur (+1.5)Dzumhur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.