Tennis · resolved market
ITF Fano: Marcello Serafini vs Massimo Giunta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc91b5b349661fb4c9aa8e9f85b23ac500b48d0da60f1a3781b7a43da7735f1a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcello Serafiniof Marcello Serafini, Massimo Giunta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Massimo Giunta | 60c | 4,756$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Marcello Serafini | 37c | 2,300$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Marcello Serafini | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.67 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Massimo Giunta | 55c | 1,519$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Marcello Serafini | 36c | 603$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.92 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Massimo Giunta | 65c | 464.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Marcello Serafini | 36c | 319.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Massimo Giunta | 64c | 284.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Marcello Serafini | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Massimo Giunta | 64c | 263.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Massimo Giunta | 53c | 236.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Marcello Serafini | 36c | 206.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Massimo Giunta | 66c | 167.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marcello Serafini | 28c | 144.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Marcello Serafini | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Marcello Serafini | 51c | 123.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Marcello Serafini | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Marcello Serafini | 35c | 102.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Massimo Giunta | 49c | 101.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Marcello Serafini | 34c | 97.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Massimo Giunta | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Massimo Giunta | 55c | 88.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Marcello Serafini | 57c | 82.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Massimo Giunta | 51c | 81.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Massimo Giunta | 31c | 80.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Marcello Serafini | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Massimo Giunta | 51c | 65.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Massimo Giunta | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Marcello Serafini | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Marcello Serafini | 40c | 49.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Marcello Serafini | 74c | 44.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Marcello Serafini | 37c | 42.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Marcello Serafini | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Massimo Giunta | 63c | 38.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Massimo Giunta | 57c | 37.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Marcello Serafini | 57c | 24.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.