NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9409aaa5f4aa9c3735d65b73f98f284886f715c9ea04b53a39ba8943425be18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hornets | 9c | 23,959$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.35 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hornets | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Hornets | 17c | 4,629$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.22 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Hornets | 13c | 3,701$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.41 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Hornets | 20c | 3,490$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.5 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 3,184$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Celtics | 80c | 2,200$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 18c | 2,182$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets | 19c | 1,326$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Hornets | 11c | 1,150$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Hornets | 18c | 1,038$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Hornets | 13c | 1,029$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Hornets | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Hornets | 10c | 1,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Hornets | 17c | 999.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Hornets | 10c | 650$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Hornets | 18c | 625$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…f391backed Celtics | 80c | 624.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Hornets | 3c | 610.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…edfbbacked Hornets | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Hornets | 17c | 583$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Hornets | 20c | 508.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Hornets | 8c | 499.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Hornets | 17c | 483.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…a67abacked Hornets | 22c | 456.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Hornets | 23c | 439.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Celtics | 71c | 423.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.1 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Hornets | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Hornets | 17c | 402.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…7214backed Hornets | 5c | 402.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…9a6fbacked Hornets | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Hornets | 19c | 354.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Hornets | 14c | 323.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 29c | 314.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Hornets | 16c | 313.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…ac2bbacked Hornets | 4c | 277.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 37cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Celtics | 80c | 249.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…7e92backed Hornets | 11c | 233.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Hornets | 15c | 203.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Hornets | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…62b4backed Hornets | 20c | 195$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Hornets | 18c | 176.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bca…8303backed Hornets | 14c | 174.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Hornets | 20c | 160.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Hornets | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Hornets | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Hornets | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Hornets | 20c | 117$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Hornets | 10c | 114$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…fb98backed Hornets | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 19c | 109.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…25ccbacked Hornets | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Hornets | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Hornets | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked Hornets | 14c | 90.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Hornets | 19c | 83.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Hornets | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Hornets | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…dc5abacked Hornets | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Hornets | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Celtics | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Celtics | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.