NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc968e8628b816ea6644f21a7c27053b2b00e38b731e8abe6d7fbe9092a671bd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Spartak Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 38c | 696.42$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.32 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Spartak Moscow | 64c | 353.29$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.11 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spartak Moscow | 52c | 289.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…c8e2backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 242.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Spartak Moscow | 67c | 239.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Spartak Moscow | 28c | 137.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spartak Moscow | 19c | 127.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 99.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 95.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 40c | 92.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…5a38backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 69c | 73.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Spartak Moscow | 29c | 66.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 63.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Spartak Moscow | 29c | 58.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Spartak Moscow | 67c | 57.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 34c | 52.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spartak Moscow | 46c | 47.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 39.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 37c | 38.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Spartak Moscow | 29c | 38.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spartak Moscow | 63c | 32.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 57c | 31.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Spartak Moscow | 43c | 27.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 68c | 25.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.