TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,422 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over38c126,786$48,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,175.394238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under62c43,564$27,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,554.261650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Under62c18,567$11,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,055.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c14,835$9,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.378,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c5,972$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.285,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under62c3,445$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.7757157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under62c3,437$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.0141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c3,374$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.741,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under62c3,347$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under62c3,258$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.7847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under62c3,236$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.4265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under62c2,998$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.161560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under62c2,827$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.9812361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under62c1,851$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.513049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under62c1,527$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.2316653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under62c1,028$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.0428158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under62c950.91$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3516759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under62c808.27$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.9936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under62c734.78$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.2216255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under62c734.43$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.0572350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Under62c705.07$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under62c676.2$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.969054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c527.36$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.752,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under62c496.18$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.19457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under64c471.71$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.37955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under62c459.8$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c385.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.092,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over23c335.23$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.265113.7%7 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over37c297.37$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.376823.5%16 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c293.98$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.712,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed Under11c249.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.2234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under62c237.95$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.427857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under62c223.07$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under62c211.86$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under62c195.44$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2719659.7%117 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under62c185.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6711763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under62c180.29$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5123542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under62c157.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1616160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8918154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under62c157.57$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.843467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under62c157.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under62c146.72$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2510456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Under62c145.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.282171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb7b…fb71backed Under44c142.76$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under62c140.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.158961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under62c126.09$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.917957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Under62c110.91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.154156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over41c107.82$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.386457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Under62c101.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under66c101.49$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.515162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over36c99.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8583642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under62c96.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.36451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over37c96.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x25dc…43e0backed Under62c96.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under63c95.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6519056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under64c93.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.926160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under65c89.71$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.958451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked Over41c82.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.765549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under60c80.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1311664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under62c79.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0824253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under62c78.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9415654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over65c70.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.726965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under62c70.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6415457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over42c68.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9618145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed Under62c67.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.482095%19 W · 1 L+7.8wins+0.39per pick56cpaid+76.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under63c63.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3918859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under65c53.25$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.882560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under62c48.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.578045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under70c45.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6717857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under62c43.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.352657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over61c41.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4331355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Under62c39.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under62c39.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.978851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under63c37.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.819955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over36c36.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.468047.5%38 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under62c35.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6419264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over66c35.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.533658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba7…5853backed Under62c33.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under62c32.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2240451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Under62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b74…1e21backed Under62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.982470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Under62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6994…eed0backed Under62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under62c31.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8810943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under62c26.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under63c26.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.774761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under62c26.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9928665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under62c26.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9416459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under62c23.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.981675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Under62c22.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.544667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under62c21.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.158964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6adc…c274backed Over58c21.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under66c20.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.063458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Under63c20.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under63c20.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.623764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6a…08a7backed Over65c19.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1abd…579abacked Under79c19.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+92.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9293…b5fdbacked Over58c19.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.