South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cbccc3ce0c8970bd8c4d40c1cd30778d1bd589cd6a2bfc98cdec191fee0b2aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 64c | 38,815$24,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,973.42 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 8,231$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 71c | 6,640$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 36c | 5,096$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 5,044$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.06 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 36c | 4,007$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 36c | 2,721$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 2,267$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 2,048$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.03 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 35c | 1,803$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.32 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 35c | 1,800$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.28 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 35c | 1,796$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.98 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 35c | 1,793$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.86 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 35c | 1,793$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.86 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 35c | 1,793$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.86 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 36c | 1,649$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.61 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 480.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 438.85$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 34c | 428.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 30c | 405.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 349.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 349.16$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 35c | 343.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 30c | 336.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 33c | 308.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 36c | 301.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 36c | 255.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 35c | 255.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 32c | 239.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 32c | 194.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 35c | 193.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7b…fb71backed Under | 50c | 191.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Under | 36c | 188.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 31c | 188.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 30c | 171.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 75c | 169.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 30c | 165.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 30c | 164.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 30c | 159.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 30c | 159.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 30c | 152.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 30c | 150.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 29c | 145.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 144.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 29c | 143.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 29c | 143.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 29c | 140.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 36c | 101.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 99.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 36c | 87.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 78.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 31c | 77.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 36c | 66.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 29c | 59.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 28c | 57.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 30c | 53.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Under | 36c | 53.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 53.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Under | 36c | 52.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 31c | 46.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 63c | 46.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 79c | 45.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…49e1backed Under | 45c | 42.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 36c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 39.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 34c | 37.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 65c | 35.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 29c | 35.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 35c | 33.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Under | 36c | 31.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 46c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3c32backed Over | 50c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)Club Alianza Atlético won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.