Tennis · resolved market
Will Europe win the Laver Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca382b31cefc7fedfdf98b1ac1994359868cecf10bea32a4e4e22877f9676635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 34c | 599.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed No | 72c | 435.12$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Yes | 30c | 374.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 44c | 333.2$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.36 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed No | 72c | 326.48$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed No | 31c | 324.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked No | 66c | 303.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 77c | 271.27$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 69c | 226.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 16c | 225.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 69c | 220$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 50c | 201.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…5f84backed No | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9dfabacked No | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…bcfdbacked No | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes | 75c | 44.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf6…5e4dbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d0…2196backed Yes | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Europe win the Laver Cup?this page
- Will World win the Laver Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.