Tennis · resolved market
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3d160ba4f0a4a7675e35a43a8efb73016c9d1720652d995a7fccd9f1a90748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Baezof Sebastian Baez, Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 34c | 2,895$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.98 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 35c | 2,876$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.98 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 22c | 2,863$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 32c | 1,720$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sebastian Baez | 75c | 1,370$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.94 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 19c | 1,363$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 9c | 1,226$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 22c | 1,202$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Baez | 65c | 1,000$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.64 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 17c | 999.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sebastian Baez | 76c | 963.73$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.05 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 17c | 956.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.57 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 17c | 711.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Sebastian Baez | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Sebastian Baez | 69c | 634.2$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sebastian Baez | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Baez | 77c | 365.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 17c | 294.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 23c | 276.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Sebastian Baez | 65c | 260.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 33c | 250.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…64cebacked Sebastian Baez | 77c | 196.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 28c | 184.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Sebastian Baez | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 17c | 172.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 162$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked Sebastian Baez | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Sebastian Baez | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Baez | 67c | 123.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 34c | 121.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 20c | 118.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 29c | 109.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 30c | 105.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 12c | 97.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 17c | 91.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…4eb9backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 36c | 90.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Sebastian Baez | 65c | 88.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 29c | 82.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 30c | 80.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sebastian Baez | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 74.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Sebastian Baez | 61c | 72.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb480…0106backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 18c | 67.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Sebastian Baez | 69c | 65.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Sebastian Baez | 65c | 56.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +14.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Sebastian Baez | 65c | 56.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 50.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Sebastian Baez | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Sebastian Baez | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sebastian Baez | 69c | 47.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Sebastian Baez | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 38c | 39.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 34c | 35.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | 32c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…3a2fbacked Sebastian Baez | 70c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…5f11backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sebastian Baez | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sebastian Baez | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…3d93backed Sebastian Baez | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 25.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sebastian Baez | 66c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sebastian Baez | 77c | 22.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8e…d88cbacked Sebastian Baez | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…bd9bbacked Sebastian Baez | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.