Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bonk vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca658379c677db340c745626d4311b17a27e65f4e15b5b8ebdf363d6c7db39e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonkof Bonk, Pixel Lumina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bonk | 53c | 944.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.75 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pixel Lumina | 47c | 578.56$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.83 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Pixel Lumina | 46c | 498.54$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Bonk | 54c | 422.67$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Pixel Lumina | 47c | 383.72$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44b…4048backed Bonk | 41c | 305.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Bonk | 57c | 272.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pixel Lumina | 36c | 241.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Pixel Lumina | 43c | 199.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…fc3dbacked Bonk | 42c | 147.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Pixel Lumina | 61c | 107.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Pixel Lumina | 41c | 104.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041d…047ebacked Bonk | 33c | 95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x462c…4c4abacked Pixel Lumina | 25c | 70.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Pixel Lumina | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bonk | 74c | 55.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Pixel Lumina | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pixel Lumina | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Bonk | 44c | 46.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pixel Lumina | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Bonk | 59c | 41.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Bonk | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bonk | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Bonk | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bonk | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Pixel Lumina | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Pixel Lumina | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Pixel Lumina | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Pixel Lumina | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Pixel Lumina | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Pixel Lumina | 45c | 24.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…2918backed Bonk | 75c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Bonk | 54c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Bonk | 59c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bonk vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Athis page
- Valorant: Bonk vs Pixel Lumina - Map 2 WinnerBonk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.