Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercer Bears vs. Washington State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca8059abf3a9d7dc26f00696424ec3c683c48248b60abcb9b7b8fb0cae829f9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington State Cougarsof Mercer Bears, Washington State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Washington State Cougars | 75c | 8,500$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Mercer Bears | 25c | 4,652$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercer Bears | 25c | 1,609$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…c09cbacked Mercer Bears | 2c | 924.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mercer Bears | 26c | 836.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mercer Bears | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Washington State Cougars | 76c | 663.2$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Washington State Cougars | 73c | 591.45$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mercer Bears | 25c | 556.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Mercer Bears | 27c | 507$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mercer Bears | 18c | 413.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington State Cougars | 76c | 400.03$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mercer Bears | 25c | 380.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Mercer Bears | 27c | 306.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mercer Bears | 25c | 166.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington State Cougars | 72c | 136$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington State Cougars | 79c | 127$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Mercer Bears | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Mercer Bears | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mercer Bears | 19c | 76.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mercer Bears | 28c | 60.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Mercer Bears | 28c | 57.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington State Cougars | 72c | 57.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mercer Bears | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Mercer Bears | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Mercer Bears | 25c | 47.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Mercer Bears | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Washington State Cougars | 74c | 36.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington State Cougars | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercer Bears vs. Washington State Cougarsthis page
- Mercer Bears vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 151.5Over won
- Mercer Bears vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 152.5Over won
- Mercer Bears vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 153.5Over won
- Mercer Bears vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 154.5Over won
- Spread: Washington State Cougars (-6.5)Mercer Bears won
- Spread: Washington State Cougars (-7.5)Mercer Bears won
- Spread: Washington State Cougars (-8.5)Mercer Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.