CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca9ef2f14359dbc473c679e02714bc4f28a0300a2b30405dcfb478fd4d41073b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sangal | 72c | 3,936$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Omega | 28c | 2,688$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.21 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Omega | 48c | 2,600$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Omega | 43c | 2,289$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.6 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Sangal | 55c | 1,463$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.13 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 55c | 1,130$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Sangal | 51c | 942.63$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.89 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Omega | 50c | 902.91$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.53 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sangal | 50c | 740.49$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.54 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Sangal | 53c | 730$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.6 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Omega | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omega | 40c | 672.49$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Omega | 48c | 659$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.84 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Sangal | 51c | 611.76$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Omega | 47c | 561.32$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.01 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sangal | 71c | 554.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Sangal | 51c | 526$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…0c9dbacked Omega | 44c | 521.38$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Omega | 6c | 499.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Sangal | 56c | 446.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.71 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Sangal | 52c | 438.58$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…aec0backed Omega | 39c | 418.75$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 48c | 417.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f8…ec5fbacked Omega | 51c | 293.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Sangal | 65c | 290.86$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…faccbacked Sangal | 55c | 278.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Sangal | 52c | 251.2$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.58 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sangal | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Sangal | 51c | 238.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Sangal | 52c | 228$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Omega | 49c | 221.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Sangal | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sangal | 48c | 204.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Omega | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked Omega | 50c | 189.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Sangal | 53c | 187.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Sangal | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sangal | 68c | 158.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Sangal | 55c | 150.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sangal | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Omega | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Omega | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Omega | 40c | 115.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Sangal | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Omega | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Sangal | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Sangal | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Sangal | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Omega | 48c | 92.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…6df8backed Omega | 49c | 88.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked Sangal | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Sangal | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Sangal | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Omega | 29c | 67.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sangal | 51c | 65.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Sangal | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Sangal | 64c | 61.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Omega | 50c | 59.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Sangal | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Omega | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Sangal | 49c | 35.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Omega | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sangal | 77c | 33.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed Omega | 50c | 32.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Omega | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Sangal | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Sangal | 52c | 29.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Sangal | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Sangal | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Sangal | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…e6f8backed Omega | 53c | 19.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sangal | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerSangal won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.