Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad65b2e26fe82c4b95c67e57ccaf84511590444a9ac0a5c4a0bb8fda2c546ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 3,594$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 1,726$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.82 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.98 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 1,553$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.84 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 1,213$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.56 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 4c | 546.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 2c | 533.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 6c | 460.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 40c | 399.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 342.3$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 301.41$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 253$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 247$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 59c | 160.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 59c | 101.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 41c | 97.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 39c | 76.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 72.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 60c | 66.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…4d7ebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 59c | 42.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 74c | 34.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 61c | 24.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 60c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.