South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf6b84a05fd657dbfb421d9d8c20a53060761f8fe38c2ab2bc8220c9eab9ed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 617.75$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 513.13$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 333.53$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 51c | 113.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 90.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 67.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 44c | 56.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 56.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 21.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.