Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaffa5ccb15de6126a7d8b32b06c435d0642df10e95a6f1dcad48c8e489e4c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof Wyoming Cowboys, South Dakota State Jackrabbits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 37c | 7,500$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 6,223$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.71 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Wyoming Cowboys | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 35c | 4,837$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wyoming Cowboys | 63c | 2,939$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.59 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 36c | 999.56$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.84 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 35c | 907.55$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.78 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 36c | 441.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 31c | 431$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 15c | 380.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 37c | 299.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Wyoming Cowboys | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 10c | 287.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 37c | 247.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 15c | 223.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Wyoming Cowboys | 67c | 170.54$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 163.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 79c | 163.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 71c | 158.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 11c | 133.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 10c | 133$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 34c | 120.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 35c | 96.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…81f1backed Wyoming Cowboys | 67c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 17c | 69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 35c | 60.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 22c | 59.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Wyoming Cowboys | 68c | 55.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 36c | 51.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Wyoming Cowboys | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…621cbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…aec1backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 37.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…a399backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 38c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…6152backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 33.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Wyoming Cowboys | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 16.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.