Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Maria Andrienko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb91568364afbe8d3e99ea8d82a41b3e5af921c422eb994283f4bcf51205cc32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Andrienkoof Sofia Camila Rojas, Maria Andrienko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 37c | 2,661$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.19 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Andrienko | 57c | 1,429$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 43c | 940.37$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.77 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Maria Andrienko | 57c | 763.73$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.71 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Maria Andrienko | 31c | 700$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Maria Andrienko | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 45c | 376.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Maria Andrienko | 55c | 296.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.01 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 32c | 239.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Maria Andrienko | 58c | 220$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 37c | 214.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Maria Andrienko | 58c | 191$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Andrienko | 42c | 180.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Maria Andrienko | 58c | 125.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Maria Andrienko | 57c | 109.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 38c | 93.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Andrienko | 23c | 70.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Maria Andrienko | 58c | 55.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Maria Andrienko | 66c | 54.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 22c | 51.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Maria Andrienko | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Maria Andrienko | 57c | 46.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Maria Andrienko | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Maria Andrienko | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Maria Andrienko | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Maria Andrienko | 41c | 30.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sofia Camila Rojas | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…945ebacked Maria Andrienko | 61c | 25.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Maria Andrienko | 57c | 22.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Sofia Camila Rojas | 74c | 18.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.