Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Gaeul Jang vs Kristina Kroitor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc822c669ccdb61700fdaf972064a4be1e41cf30e935cde1f177cbab94ac5e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaeul Jangof Gaeul Jang, Kristina Kroitor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Kristina Kroitor | 0c | 151,812$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gaeul Jang | 21c | 1,065$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Kristina Kroitor | 64c | 778.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kristina Kroitor | 60c | 707.9$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.74 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gaeul Jang | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Gaeul Jang | 41c | 299.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kristina Kroitor | 62c | 275.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gaeul Jang | 33c | 225.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Gaeul Jang | 24c | 210.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Kristina Kroitor | 67c | 192$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Gaeul Jang | 37c | 176.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Gaeul Jang | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Kristina Kroitor | 58c | 144.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Gaeul Jang | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Gaeul Jang | 43c | 119.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Gaeul Jang | 37c | 102.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gaeul Jang | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Kristina Kroitor | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Kristina Kroitor | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Kristina Kroitor | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gaeul Jang | 66c | 75.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Kristina Kroitor | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kristina Kroitor | 65c | 56.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Kristina Kroitor | 67c | 47.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Gaeul Jang | 36c | 41.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Gaeul Jang | 34c | 39.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kristina Kroitor | 63c | 39.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Gaeul Jang | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Gaeul Jang | 36c | 38.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Kristina Kroitor | 75c | 38.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kristina Kroitor | 63c | 35.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Gaeul Jang | 34c | 35.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3e…bb7abacked Kristina Kroitor | 64c | 32.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kristina Kroitor | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kristina Kroitor | 59c | 29.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8148…cc31backed Kristina Kroitor | 67c | 29.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…ac83backed Kristina Kroitor | 66c | 23.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kristina Kroitor | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kristina Kroitor | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kristina Kroitor | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.