CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc88ee2623c65d41cddecaf0aea666d56efe05c4cd97991dfb45e776b42d3f2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaimin Gladiatorsof Liquid, Gaimin Gladiators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed Gaimin Gladiators | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Liquid | 52c | 3,326$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.67 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Gaimin Gladiators | 71c | 1,992$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.82 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid | 51c | 1,549$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 53c | 1,000$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Liquid | 47c | 573.48$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.53 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Liquid | 51c | 550.98$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Liquid | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Liquid | 48c | 407.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Gaimin Gladiators | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Liquid | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 53c | 200.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Liquid | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Liquid | 52c | 116.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Gaimin Gladiators | 51c | 76.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Liquid | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Gaimin Gladiators | 48c | 52.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Liquid | 52c | 45.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Liquid | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Liquid | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Liquid | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Liquid | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Liquid | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Gaimin Gladiators | 48c | 24.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Liquid | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Gaimin Gladiators won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 WinnerGaimin Gladiators won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.