Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcca2f0a92eac0a09709e6c5dd4ff1bce84c9b1bfe4f4b3bbfb1b47125440f23e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 3,011$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 2,221$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 868.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 725.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 14c | 296.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 226.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 167.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 23c | 143.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 29c | 137.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 118.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 22c | 115.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 82.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 22c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 78c | 69.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 43.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 77c | 32.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.