Asian League · resolved market
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa52c2fbe6cf7cd4031d7f4b0bff94867fcda523adf22d62843086c6bea646204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 5,772$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.4 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 75c | 5,712$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 1,658$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 23c | 1,519$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.05 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,336$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 1,045$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.72 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 733.53$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 671.25$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 26c | 633$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 555.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 534.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 26c | 490.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 368.39$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 160.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 26c | 99.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 21c | 93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 74c | 74.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 73.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 70.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 23c | 70.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked No | 74c | 62.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 62.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 45.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 41c | 44.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 75c | 40.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbe…282bbacked No | 76c | 30.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 73c | 21.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…8796backed No | 74c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.