Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189405a5f8cf330030dbf33414a6dca2fb49836a8c743173899f8399407e712a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 47c | 3,023$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 2,264$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.4 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,600$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 53c | 1,581$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.29 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 78c | 1,465$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,100$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.44 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 54c | 788.92$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.79 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 784.95$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.48 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 682.32$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.69 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 52c | 580.15$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.38 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 530.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 5c | 467$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 38c | 260.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 259.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.88 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 254.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 232.27$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 58c | 212.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 52c | 143.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 136.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 127.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 38c | 119.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 49c | 112$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 41c | 111.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 39c | 103.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 50c | 100.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 21c | 74.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 51c | 73.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 66.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 51c | 64.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 46.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 43.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 41.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed Yes | 44c | 40.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 48c | 40.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 50c | 39.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 49c | 38.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 53c | 37.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3012…4f72backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked No | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…9fe3backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.