Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bacau: Robert Guna vs Samir Hamza Reguig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd497afda5b06a0aaa48277caebc7fd565e137105c1b8e1fe76928eb7b566b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Gunaof Robert Guna, Samir Hamza Reguig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 42c | 6,608$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.4 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Robert Guna | 56c | 4,846$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 1c | 3,700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Robert Guna | 61c | 2,148$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 38c | 1,353$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 41c | 999.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.23 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…3316backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 41c | 790.9$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 70c | 719.54$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Robert Guna | 60c | 632.81$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 44c | 595.45$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Robert Guna | 58c | 569.74$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 30c | 379.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 68c | 348.8$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samir Hamza Reguig | 11c | 337.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 37c | 322.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 50c | 256.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Guna | 54c | 255.13$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Robert Guna | 61c | 245.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…c450backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 39c | 234.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 39c | 146.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Robert Guna | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 37c | 89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Robert Guna | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Robert Guna | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Robert Guna | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Robert Guna | 59c | 44.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Robert Guna | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Robert Guna | 58c | 24.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Robert Guna | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed Samir Hamza Reguig | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Robert Guna | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Robert Guna | 65c | 15.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.