Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Daniel Jade vs Michael Zhu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda014d25c4718c727517e63d931f713ef62d841ff5e90993a39fd49c1d44262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Jadeof Daniel Jade, Michael Zhu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Michael Zhu | 26c | 9,797$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Michael Zhu | 14c | 2,178$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniel Jade | 75c | 1,201$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.25 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Michael Zhu | 13c | 1,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michael Zhu | 13c | 928.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Daniel Jade | 75c | 761$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.17 | 319 | 36.4%116 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Michael Zhu | 17c | 758.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 486 | 30.9%150 W · 336 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Daniel Jade | 72c | 685.96$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.84 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Michael Zhu | 16c | 644.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Zhu | 24c | 615.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Jade | 73c | 581.29$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Michael Zhu | 34c | 564.36$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 312 | 42.3%132 W · 180 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Michael Zhu | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michael Zhu | 14c | 475.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Michael Zhu | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Michael Zhu | 13c | 284.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Jade | 77c | 268.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Michael Zhu | 35c | 256.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daniel Jade | 77c | 251.33$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…cefcbacked Michael Zhu | 20c | 248.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Michael Zhu | 41c | 241.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…558bbacked Michael Zhu | 13c | 225$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daniel Jade | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Michael Zhu | 23c | 219.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Michael Zhu | 36c | 204.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 415 | 35.4%147 W · 268 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Daniel Jade | 75c | 193.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Zhu | 39c | 193.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Michael Zhu | 12c | 187.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Michael Zhu | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Michael Zhu | 12c | 150.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Michael Zhu | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Michael Zhu | 24c | 144.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daniel Jade | 57c | 143$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Michael Zhu | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Michael Zhu | 21c | 118.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Michael Zhu | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Michael Zhu | 19c | 99.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Michael Zhu | 35c | 83.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Daniel Jade | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Daniel Jade | 78c | 79.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a03ebacked Daniel Jade | 78c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Michael Zhu | 39c | 71.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daniel Jade | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Michael Zhu | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Michael Zhu | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Daniel Jade | 79c | 51.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Michael Zhu | 21c | 51.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Michael Zhu | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Michael Zhu | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…a2c6backed Daniel Jade | 60c | 42.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…1e8fbacked Daniel Jade | 59c | 40.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Daniel Jade | 72c | 38.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…7a1ebacked Michael Zhu | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Daniel Jade | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Daniel Jade | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.