Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda33519fc83c64ca2880685f93237cc1a47316e2425ac4f4e74b5a1ed7fe5c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 68c | 8,500$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.99 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 31c | 6,115$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.92 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 32c | 3,333$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 67c | 1,934$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.29 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked No | 70c | 1,053$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…340abacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 33cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 31c | 888.94$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.57 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 69c | 682.36$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.53 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ed…699bbacked Yes | 33c | 414.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 34c | 296.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 26c | 241.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 31c | 195$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4bd5backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d6…dee7backed Yes | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 61c | 106.92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 10c | 106.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…9f23backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 76c | 92.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 60c | 79.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…9c5ebacked Yes | 23c | 78.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes | 33c | 77.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Yes | 30c | 72.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 67c | 51.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…b83cbacked Yes | 33c | 51.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 65c | 47.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 32c | 39.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…e23cbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-02?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.