South American Leagues · resolved market
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb8fe0b21ea323726b72ece8dcc0d30833ef8024499592b6636fb44338544e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 56c | 15,018$8,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,344.6 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.74 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 6,850$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,077$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 2,948$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.65 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 2,771$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.26 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 1,230$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.47 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 51c | 856.71$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.92 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 45c | 630.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.66 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 542.13$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.72 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 51c | 458.14$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 375$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 356$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Under | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 51c | 270.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 47c | 253.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 45c | 215.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 33c | 148.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 62c | 125.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 122.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 104.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 100.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 85.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 45c | 75.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 44c | 70.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Under | 57c | 68.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 51c | 62.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 45c | 56.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 58c | 37.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Under | 36c | 35.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 61c | 26.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5this page
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5Under won
- Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Academia Puerto Cabello (-1.5)Academia Puerto Cabello won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.