Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdca94591458def10e7723c389cde79cb406bb682d3c8414fca12a8ff8fbe060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 21c | 9,589$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.74 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 4,927$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.01 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 23c | 4,764$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.81 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,534$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.39 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 21c | 2,500$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,304$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.18 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 79c | 1,176$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 79c | 702.52$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 80c | 582.93$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.59 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 20c | 505.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 406.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 80c | 314.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 80c | 305.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 20c | 288$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 80c | 249.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 79c | 222.78$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 21c | 176.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 80c | 137.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 15c | 125.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 17c | 97.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 77c | 95.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed No | 21c | 95.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 20c | 94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 23c | 92.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 77c | 81.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 76c | 63.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 78c | 62.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 78c | 59.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 79c | 53.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 21c | 53.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…236dbacked No | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 78c | 47.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 77c | 47.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 80c | 37.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 78c | 32.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 79c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes | 76c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 76c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…88eabacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?No won
- Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.