Cricket · resolved market
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Washington Freedom
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce776cf4002bbc7e8f892ffc40f59129ccdf2d117ad1d0729007a37d479b43f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Orcasof Seattle Orcas, Washington Freedom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Seattle Orcas | 33c | 8,451$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,643.05 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Washington Freedom | 10c | 8,303$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.83 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Washington Freedom | 74c | 4,208$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.25 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…8a1abacked Washington Freedom | 42c | 3,196$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Orcas | 76c | 2,760$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.04 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Washington Freedom | 28c | 2,512$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.85 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Freedom | 71c | 1,395$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.44 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3052…ca02backed Washington Freedom | 27c | 1,006$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Freedom | 29c | 887.51$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Freedom | 31c | 881.17$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.63 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Seattle Orcas | 25c | 794.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.84 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Washington Freedom | 68c | 779.25$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.02 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Seattle Orcas | 17c | 599.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.97 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Freedom | 76c | 466.14$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Orcas | 66c | 419.16$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Washington Freedom | 46c | 319.69$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Washington Freedom | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…a1a9backed Washington Freedom | 39c | 232.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Freedom | 9c | 190$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Freedom | 19c | 189.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Washington Freedom | 77c | 186$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Washington Freedom | 76c | 184.51$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…c6c6backed Washington Freedom | 57c | 174.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Seattle Orcas | 23c | 174.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Washington Freedom | 76c | 155.58$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Seattle Orcas | 15c | 154.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Washington Freedom | 73c | 150.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…bb18backed Washington Freedom | 25c | 149.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Seattle Orcas | 17c | 121$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Seattle Orcas | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…00a5backed Washington Freedom | 41c | 109.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Washington Freedom | 53c | 108$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…8d68backed Washington Freedom | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a94…a47abacked Washington Freedom | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Washington Freedom | 53c | 99.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543d…63a5backed Washington Freedom | 55c | 87.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Washington Freedom | 76c | 83.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed Seattle Orcas | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Orcas | 51c | 81.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…2674backed Seattle Orcas | 46c | 80.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Seattle Orcas | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Seattle Orcas | 72c | 78.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Washington Freedom | 76c | 74.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…c2bbbacked Seattle Orcas | 27c | 70.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Seattle Orcas | 18c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…bb65backed Seattle Orcas | 21c | 69.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Washington Freedom | 24c | 63.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Washington Freedom | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Seattle Orcas | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Washington Freedom | 65c | 61.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Washington Freedom | 76c | 60.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Washington Freedom | 23c | 50.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…ff63backed Washington Freedom | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Seattle Orcas | 22c | 46.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed Washington Freedom | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…33dabacked Seattle Orcas | 43c | 42.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed Washington Freedom | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Seattle Orcas | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Seattle Orcas | 30c | 38.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…2451backed Seattle Orcas | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Washington Freedom | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…919dbacked Washington Freedom | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Seattle Orcas | 46c | 34.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7267…b086backed Seattle Orcas | 40c | 32.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…9042backed Seattle Orcas | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Seattle Orcas | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5750backed Washington Freedom | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Freedom | 48c | 28.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Washington Freedom | 62c | 26.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Washington Freedom | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Seattle Orcas | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Washington Freedom | 54c | 22.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…e022backed Seattle Orcas | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…442abacked Seattle Orcas | 66c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Washington Freedom | 64c | 20.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Washington Freedom | 75c | 16.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Washington Freedom | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.