Tennis · resolved market
ITF Eupen: Alessio Basile vs Leo Lagarrigue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceafbfe4488bb354270e9701267513844bdf3f912c908a1a00e2a7a4ad94a9b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alessio Basileof Alessio Basile, Leo Lagarrigue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc0a…e907backed Leo Lagarrigue | 0c | 4,951$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leo Lagarrigue | 32c | 502.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Leo Lagarrigue | 37c | 457.2$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Alessio Basile | 57c | 437.4$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alessio Basile | 63c | 349.88$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Leo Lagarrigue | 25c | 185.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Lagarrigue | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alessio Basile | 78c | 111.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Alessio Basile | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alessio Basile | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Leo Lagarrigue | 70c | 67.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leo Lagarrigue | 22c | 57.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Alessio Basile | 60c | 42.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Alessio Basile | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alessio Basile | 74c | 36.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Leo Lagarrigue | 38c | 35.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alessio Basile | 63c | 34.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Alessio Basile | 64c | 31.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Alessio Basile | 69c | 25.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Leo Lagarrigue | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Alessio Basile | 75c | 23.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Alessio Basile | 77c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alessio Basile | 67c | 19.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.