South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceb33a4b12785f281bfb98e665aecd9573748dd0652e76ca3a35ac0a05c66ae6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 31c | 7,763$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.45 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 36c | 2,748$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.78 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 64c | 2,513$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.32 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Yes | 37c | 2,403$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.34 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 69c | 1,987$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.08 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 45c | 1,848$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.14 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 69c | 1,427$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.41 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 36c | 1,188$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.02 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 773.15$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 36c | 540.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 524.43$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 461.34$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.15 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 33c | 459$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.53 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 444$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.84 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 424.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 346.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 328.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 205.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 128.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 36c | 111.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 63c | 103.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 64c | 98.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 42c | 96.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 36c | 83.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 81.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked No | 64c | 58.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…c530backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 23c | 53.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 65c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 46c | 49.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Yes | 36c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 33.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 31.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…4669backed No | 65c | 28.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 64c | 26.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 70c | 26.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 71c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 46c | 25.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…07f1backed Yes | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 64c | 17.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 69c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.