NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceeab93d111ab3cc4ebe6029d2e1f171afd83de531cf8df940949ceb77451ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Jets, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Blackhawks | 54c | 9,239$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.25 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Jets | 44c | 7,036$3,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.08 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 2,576$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.25 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Jets | 60c | 1,500$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Jets | 66c | 1,120$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blackhawks | 59c | 1,000$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.1 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Jets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Blackhawks | 34c | 975.97$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.83 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Blackhawks | 34c | 916.06$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Jets | 66c | 800$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Jets | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks | 2c | 665.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Blackhawks | 33c | 593.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.51 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Jets | 64c | 449.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Jets | 58c | 422.94$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Blackhawks | 53c | 414.91$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.25 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Blackhawks | 63c | 383.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Jets | 50c | 331.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 16c | 313.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets | 66c | 301.27$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Jets | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Jets | 46c | 277.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Jets | 62c | 277$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…bf06backed Jets | 66c | 275.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…7e3bbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 273.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Jets | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…22dbbacked Blackhawks | 59c | 230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Jets | 53c | 225.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Jets | 67c | 224.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Jets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Jets | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Blackhawks | 59c | 177.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 165.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks | 34c | 158.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…2cffbacked Jets | 67c | 155.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Jets | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Blackhawks | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Jets | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Blackhawks | 39c | 129.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Jets | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…8f8bbacked Jets | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Jets | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Jets | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Jets | 63c | 99.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Blackhawks | 37c | 97.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Blackhawks | 35c | 92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…9586backed Jets | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Jets | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Blackhawks | 53c | 74.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jets | 67c | 67.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Jets | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Blackhawks | 35c | 50.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Jets | 60c | 50.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Jets | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Jets | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Jets | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Jets | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…dd4cbacked Jets | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Jets | 61c | 45.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Blackhawks | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Jets | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6b00backed Jets | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Blackhawks | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…b31fbacked Jets | 57c | 35.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Jets | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3d…f363backed Jets | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…47b0backed Jets | 63c | 23.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…13b9backed Jets | 56c | 21.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Jets | 65c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…94a1backed Jets | 64c | 16.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Jets | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.