Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef9f5fa4ada7e00d418bf773c08406fb8bf6757205ac1ae1c38a6a4afceef52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,301$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.05 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 1,303$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.34 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 46c | 1,088$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.89 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 1,070$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.92 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 51c | 922.49$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.02 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 645.93$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.48 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 41c | 469.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +19.0wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 469.66$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.77 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 42c | 465.53$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 438$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 438$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 437.28$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 381.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 30c | 371.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 59c | 341.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.35 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 43c | 328.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 313.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 70c | 296$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 51c | 288$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Yes | 65c | 274.22$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.31 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 44c | 252.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 44c | 241.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 237.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 62c | 216.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 26c | 208.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 44c | 199.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 47c | 181.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 56c | 178.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 45c | 151.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 51c | 140.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 139.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 57c | 133.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 46c | 127.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 44c | 110.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 52c | 109.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 97.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 68c | 92.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yes | 43c | 85.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Yes | 61c | 82.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 43c | 76.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 47c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 41c | 72.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 70.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 27c | 63.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 61.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 31c | 59.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 57c | 53.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 54c | 52.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 22c | 52.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 33c | 51.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 42c | 49.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 46c | 48.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 70c | 37.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 45c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 67c | 36.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Yes | 32c | 34.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 53c | 28.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed No | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 63c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…91b2backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…66d9backed No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will NSÍ Runavík vs. Ħamrun Spartans FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.