Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf986888e5d9c65d1ccbf675301cf52d4bd70264eeda90c43983d95403f8fe99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secretof DRX, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed DRX | 49c | 692.78$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.31 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Secret | 51c | 582.78$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.56 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Secret | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed DRX | 53c | 189.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 57.3%201 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed DRX | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked DRX | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked DRX | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 259 | 43.2%112 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Secret | 47c | 119.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Secret | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Team Secret | 51c | 108.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Secret | 52c | 100.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Team Secret | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed DRX | 16c | 69.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Team Secret | 48c | 67.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Secret | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed DRX | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked DRX | 49c | 47.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Secret | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Team Secret | 48c | 36.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Secret | 50c | 34.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked DRX | 50c | 34.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…30c2backed DRX | 48c | 29.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed DRX | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed DRX | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: DRX vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaTeam Secret won
- Valorant: DRX vs Team Secret - Map 1 WinnerTeam Secret won
- Valorant: DRX vs Team Secret - Map 2 WinnerTeam Secret won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.