Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Duncan Chan vs Jie Cui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfbe692d8b13343750f1b276a2b27befc0a51b996d68649a760a224060de3f3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duncan Chanof Duncan Chan, Jie Cui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Duncan Chan | 50c | 5,042$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.97 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jie Cui | 46c | 3,340$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Jie Cui | 49c | 1,609$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.49 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Jie Cui | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Jie Cui | 50c | 799.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Jie Cui | 50c | 761$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.5 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Duncan Chan | 58c | 590.33$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Duncan Chan | 54c | 548.75$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.09 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jie Cui | 52c | 451.74$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Duncan Chan | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Jie Cui | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jie Cui | 50c | 414.46$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Jie Cui | 73c | 412.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jie Cui | 50c | 340$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Duncan Chan | 52c | 301.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.79 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Duncan Chan | 49c | 290.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.83 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jie Cui | 50c | 231.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Duncan Chan | 52c | 211$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Jie Cui | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Duncan Chan | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Duncan Chan | 52c | 173.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Duncan Chan | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jie Cui | 49c | 131.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Duncan Chan | 53c | 130.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jie Cui | 45c | 109.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Jie Cui | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Duncan Chan | 51c | 98.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Duncan Chan | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jie Cui | 51c | 89.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Duncan Chan | 55c | 88.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Duncan Chan | 45c | 60.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Jie Cui | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Jie Cui | 68c | 51.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Jie Cui | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jie Cui | 46c | 44.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Jie Cui | 49c | 44.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duncan Chan | 62c | 44.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Duncan Chan | 58c | 42.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Jie Cui | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Duncan Chan | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jie Cui | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Duncan Chan | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Jie Cui | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jie Cui | 45c | 29.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Jie Cui | 74c | 27.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.