Lol · resolved market
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfcf0c8ac99cc8849ee5d62b99e3d6d68da05e3a9234225e76e1bcd916ac324a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forsakenof Forsaken, BOMBA Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Forsaken | 54c | 2,020$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.46 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed BOMBA Team | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed BOMBA Team | 60c | 1,557$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.64 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BOMBA Team | 22c | 1,071$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.13 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Forsaken | 72c | 456.24$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Forsaken | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed BOMBA Team | 40c | 181.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…7fd3backed Forsaken | 57c | 152.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BOMBA Team | 45c | 112.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…99d1backed Forsaken | 54c | 111.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Forsaken | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Forsaken | 55c | 99.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed BOMBA Team | 33c | 66.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…17b2backed BOMBA Team | 40c | 58.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed BOMBA Team | 50c | 46.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Forsaken | 58c | 39.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…401ebacked Forsaken | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 359 | 43.7%157 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed Forsaken | 57c | 35.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 189 | 60.3%114 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Forsaken | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Forsaken | 55c | 22.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked BOMBA Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsForsaken won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 3 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 4 WinnerForsaken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.