Lol · resolved market
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3734c05c821dfe1e12a5b9a93af871e79a9500a81ccd644eef210f1dfee97b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOMBA Teamof Forsaken, BOMBA Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed Forsaken | 2c | 2,300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Forsaken | 2c | 2,087$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Forsaken | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Forsaken | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Forsaken | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Forsaken | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BOMBA Team | 68c | 644.63$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Forsaken | 20c | 612.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Forsaken | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Forsaken | 33c | 579.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed BOMBA Team | 58c | 506.55$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed BOMBA Team | 55c | 316.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Forsaken | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed BOMBA Team | 69c | 284$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Forsaken | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Forsaken | 40c | 190$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BOMBA Team | 64c | 146.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Forsaken | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…99d1backed Forsaken | 45c | 110.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked BOMBA Team | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BOMBA Team | 45c | 94.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…17b2backed Forsaken | 25c | 85.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked BOMBA Team | 75c | 79.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked BOMBA Team | 77c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed BOMBA Team | 58c | 59.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BOMBA Team | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…401ebacked BOMBA Team | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 359 | 43.7%157 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed BOMBA Team | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Forsaken | 42c | 29.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Forsaken | 43c | 29.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed BOMBA Team | 67c | 28.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BOMBA Team | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BOMBA Team | 65c | 20.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…6844backed BOMBA Team | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed BOMBA Team | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends PlayoffsForsaken won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 3 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 4 WinnerForsaken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.