Tennis · resolved market
ITF Villa Constitucion: Julian Cundom vs Thiago Cigarran
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0163b6e82e2464581d4907c146bd98b39fdb7768bfecaf09880de6ed7320909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thiago Cigarranof Julian Cundom, Thiago Cigarran
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Julian Cundom | 68c | 5,465$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.65 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thiago Cigarran | 31c | 3,282$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Thiago Cigarran | 33c | 2,354$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.45 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Julian Cundom | 33c | 719.65$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.31 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Julian Cundom | 68c | 624$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.32 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Julian Cundom | 29c | 514.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Thiago Cigarran | 30c | 340.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.36 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Julian Cundom | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Julian Cundom | 68c | 290.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Thiago Cigarran | 67c | 208.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Thiago Cigarran | 34c | 198$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Julian Cundom | 67c | 187.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thiago Cigarran | 68c | 157.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Thiago Cigarran | 34c | 107.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Julian Cundom | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Julian Cundom | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Thiago Cigarran | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Julian Cundom | 51c | 92.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Thiago Cigarran | 30c | 51.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Julian Cundom | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Julian Cundom | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Julian Cundom | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Julian Cundom | 32c | 31.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Thiago Cigarran | 46c | 27.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Thiago Cigarran | 71c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.